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2016-2026 GLOBAL FLEET & MRO MARKET FORECAST COMMENTARY

Oliver Wyman has released its 2016-2026 annual assessment and 10-year outlook of the commercial airline transport fleet and associated maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) market. 

As one of the major cost categories as well as critical to safety management and customer experience, airlines carefully manage their fleet plans and maintenance activities.  Fleet renewal, next-gen aircraft and new technologies are significantly influencing the evolution of the MRO industry -- from carbon fiber composites and hybrid alloys with special coatings to affect the frequency and methods of repair, to self-monitoring new generation aircraft that provide gigabytes of data on each flight, and beyond. These new developments will change the face of the industry including how, when and where MRO is performed.

Special sections in this extensive for purchase report include:

  • Fleet forecasts and related economic drivers such a GDP growth rates, fuel prices, load factors, traffic patterns and growth for passenger and cargo aircraft including data on deliveries, aircraft retirements and in-service fleets
  • Forecasts by OEM along with orders, deliveries and backlogs
  • Aircraft class and platforms plus aircraft migration trends
  • Aircraft leasing trends including regional trends and financing requirements
  • 10-year MRO forecasts for airframe, engine, component and line maintenance
  • Aircraft maintenance spend by major platform, vintage, and geographic region
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Publications

  • MRO Middle East 2017 - Global Fleet and MRO Market Forecast
  • MRO Europe 2016 - Global Fleet & MRO Market Forecast

    CAVOK Group Vice President Tom Cooper covered his view of the Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) industry in the MRO Europe Trends and Forecasts session on Tuesday, October 18th, 2016. His presentation also highlighted insights on innovation and new technologies leveraged from the annual Oliver Wyman MRO Survey and showcased data from the MRO section of PlaneStats.com.

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  • MRO Asia-Pacific 2016 - Winds of Change

    CAVOK Group Vice President Chris Doan covered his view of the Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) industry in the MRO Asia-Pacific Trends and Forecasts session on Tuesday, September 27th, 2016. His presentation also highlighted insights on innovation and new technologies leveraged from the annual Oliver Wyman MRO Survey and showcased data from the MRO section of PlaneStats.com.

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  • MRO Americas 2016 - Global Fleet & MRO Market Forecast

     

    WINDS OF CHANGE: 2016-2026 GLOBAL FLEET & MRO MARKET FORECAST was presented by CAVOK Group VP David Marcontell at the MRO Americas Conference on April 5th, 2016.

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  • MRO Survey 2016: A Lion or a Lamb? Big Data Innovation and Adoption in Aviation MRO

    In Oliver Wyman’s 2016 MRO Survey, we examine a variety of technology and innovation themes, including how operators, MROs, and OEMs are adopting, utilizing, and investing in big data capabilities – particularly relating to aircraft health monitoring (AHM) and predictive maintenance (PM) systems.

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  • 2015-2025 MRO Middle East Market Forecast

    Principal Andrew Medland gave a presentation titled “Turbulence Ahead - Disengage the Autopilot: 2015-2025 Global Fleet and MRO Market Forecast” on February 3rd at MRO Middle East in Dubai. His presentation covered market trends and forecasts with a special emphasis on the Middle East aviation MRO market. For more information on the MRO Middle East event please click here.
     

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  • MRO Survey 2015 - Turning The Tide: A Wave Of New Aviation Technology Will Soon Hit The MRO Industry

    Turning the tide: A wave of new aviation technology will soon hit the MRO industry

    By 2020, most companies in the aviation maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) sector will use new technology in a way that fundamentally changes how the industry works, cutting or re-distributing industry revenue by up to 20 percent, or $15 billion.

    According to results of Oliver Wyman’s 2015 MRO Survey, the use of big data in the aviation industry will become pervasive, with the rise of aircraft health monitoring and predictive maintenance systems. The way MRO providers touch the aircraft will also change with wearable and other new repair technologies and additive manufacturing (3-D printing). Meanwhile, most aviation companies will have to manage overhauls of their aging IT backbones that inhibit efficient working environments and integration with newer technologies.

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  • MRO Asia-Pacific 2015 - Global Fleet and MRO Market Forecast

    MRO Asia-Pacific 2015 - Global Fleet and MRO Market Forecast

    CAVOK VP Chris Doan gave a presentation titled “Turbulence Ahead - Disengage the Autopilot: 2015-2025 Global Fleet and MRO Market Forecast” on November 3rd at MRO Asia-Pacific in Singapore. His presentation covered market trends and forecasts with a special emphasis on the Asian aviation MRO market. For more information on the MRO Asia-Pacific event please click here.

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  • MRO Europe 2015 - Global Fleet and MRO Market Forecast

    MRO Europe 2015 - Global Fleet and MRO Market Forecast

    CAVOK VP Chris Doan gave a presentation titled “Turbulence Ahead - Disengage the Autopilot: 2015-2025 Global Fleet and MRO Market Forecast” on October 13 at MRO Europe. His presentation covered market trends and forecasts with a special emphasis on the European aviation MRO market. For more information on the MRO Europe event please click here.

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  • 2015 Phoenix Sky Harbor International Aviation Symposium Charts


    2015 Phoenix Sky Harbor International Aviation Symposium Charts

    Each year, Oliver Wyman produces a collection of charts on related to the topics covered at the Phoenix Sky Harbor International Aviation Symposium. This year’s chart data include: air traveler frustrations, airline loyalty membership by carrier/alliance, average seat departures by region, regional aircraft replacement, airline employee productivity, airline employees by job category, job demand by geography and category, ancillary revenues by carrier, distribution costs, alliance shares and social media engagement and growth of major airlines.

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  • MRO Americas 2015 – MRO Trends and Forecasts

     

    MRO Americas 2015 – MRO Trends and Forecasts

     

    Dave Marcontell presented at the MRO Americas Trends and Forecasts session on April 15, covering his view of the maintenance, repair, and overhaul industry.  He also gave insights on innovation and new technologies from the annual Oliver Wyman MRO Survey.

     

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  • MRO Americas 2015 – Global Engine Fleet and Market Forecast

     

    MRO Americas 2015 – Global Engine Fleet and Market Forecast
    2015-2025

     

    Presented by Tom Cooper at the MRO Americas in Propulsion Projection: Divining the Future session on Wednesday, April 15, 2015, this presentation outlines engine fleet forecasts, engine MRO market forecasts and trends and challenges for the future through 2025.

     

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  • MRO Americas 2015 - Americas Fleet & Component MRO Market Forecast

     

    MRO Americas 2015 - Americas Fleet & Component Market Market Forecast 

     

    Presented by Chris Doan at the MRO Americas 2015 at Trends and Innovation Solutions Panel, this presentation outlines Americas fleet growth forecast by aircraft class, vintage and MRO class for the future through 2025.

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  • Asia MRO Forecast 2014-2024

    Asia MRO Forecast 2014-2024

    Asian MRO continues to grow at a very robust +7% annual rate, yet costs are rising and challenges abound. Former TeamSAI President and COO, and current Vice  President at CAVOK David A. Marcontell, discussed these issues and unveiled our 2014-2024 MRO forecast for Asia Pacific region at the annual MRO Asia Conference held November 4-6 in Singapore.

    [This presentation was published prior to the acquisition of TeamSAI]

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  • European MRO Forecast 2014-2024

    European MRO Forecast 2014-2024

    With Europe struggling to stay out of another recession, yet traffic holding steady, what does it mean for European airlines and MROs? Former TeamSAI President and COO, and current Vice President at CAVOK David A. Marcontell, discussed these issues and unveiled our 2014-2024 MRO forecast for Europe at the annual MRO Europe Conference held October 7-9 in Madrid, Spain.

    [This presentation was published prior to the acquisition of TeamSAI]

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  • MARPA Annual Conference 2014

    MARPA Annual Conference 2014

    Former TeamSAI President and COO, and current Vice President at CAVOK David A. Marcontell, presented our annual material and PMA forecast at this year’s annual MARPA Conference held  October 1-3 in Las Vegas. See how the high level of retirements and part-outs are affecting material consumption and PMA demand for the next 10 years.

    [This presentation was published prior to the acquisition of TeamSAI]

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  • European Engine MRO Forecast 2014-2024

    European Engine MRO Forecast 2014-2024

    Former TeamSAI EVP & Principal, and current Vice President at CAVOK Tom Cooper presented our 2014-2024 engine MRO forecast for Europe at the annual MRO Europe Conference held October 7-9 in Madrid, Spain.

    [This presentation was published prior to the acquisition of TeamSAI]

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  • MRO SURVEY 2014 Signs of New Life: New Partnerships, Fresh Hiring, 3-D Printing

    MRO SURVEY 2014 Signs of New Life: New Partnerships, Fresh Hiring, 3-D Printing

    Original equipment manufacturers won the market for high-value, aftermarket aviation services, leaving independent maintenance, repair, and overhaul providers scouting for paths to evolve and grow. In our annual aviation survey, we found engine and component MROs are preparing to fortify their remaining footholds through strategic partnering and by accelerating development of unique services. Airframe MROs, meanwhile, seek to capitalize on shifts caused by rising labor costs in emerging economies.

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  • Transport & Logistics Journal 2014

    Transport & Logistics Journal 2014

    Oliver Wyman is pleased to present the 2014 issue of the annual Oliver Wyman Transport & Logistics Journal. This issue focuses on four major themes and related challenges facing the global transportation and logistics industries:

    • Transformation: E-commerce logistics and aviation are facing transformational shifts. An aging workforce will impact rail and other transport and logistics industries.
    • Marketing: The rise of mobile is driving the demand for real-time travel information. Savvier customers are pushing brand strategy in new directions.
    • Finance: Optimization strategies could free up high-speed rail funding. A new best-practice focus may help other industry segments increase earnings and stop cost overruns.
    • Operations: Hot topics in the operations space include focusing on middle managers as change agents, improving rail safety, and new trends in aviation MRO.

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  • Airline Economic Analysis 2014

    Airline Economic Analysis 2014

    US airline performance was strong enough in the past year to raise the question: Is the airline business becoming a “regular” business, with sustainable profits?

    Both network and value carriers achieved their best margin performance of the past decade – the result of healthy demand, stable fuel prices, capacity restraint, and an ample supply of slim-line seats, according to Oliver Wyman’s Airline Economic Analysis 2014. Strong revenue growth was accompanied by flat costs, as increases in labor were largely offset by lower, and relatively stable, fuel costs.

    The increase in domestic revenue per available seat mile, or RASM, during the year ending June 2014 was unusually strong, outpacing the increase in international RASM and halting the trend of network carriers relying largely on their international operations for revenue growth. Although value carriers continued to earn higher margins on domestic service, network carriers made substantial progress in turning their historically low-margin or loss-making domestic operations into a profitable business.

    Oliver Wyman releases this year’s reference analysis to coincide with the Raymond James Transportation Conference on November 6, 2014. The report includes extensive aviation data analysis, including more than 55 charts based on PlaneStats.com data.

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  • Global MRO Forecast 2014-2024 - Uncertainty and Risk

    Global MRO Forecast 2014-2024 - Uncertainty and Risk

    If the last decade has taught us anything, it’s that uncertainty and risk are everywhere.  That remains the case today for MRO shops all over the world.  A decade ago, We forecasted that global MRO spend would exceed $56 billion.  Today, we expect that the MRO demand will be just about that amount.  But who could have predicted all the events of the last ten years?  No one, really, and that is why it is so critical that MROs be prepared for whatever may come.  On April 8, 2014 Chris Doan, former CEO & Chairman of TeamSAI , and now a Vice President at CAVOK reviewed what MROs can do to be prepared for the next decade during the Annual Industry Analysis and Forecast session of MRO Americas 2014 in Phoenix, Arizona.  Along with the 2014-2024 forecast, Chris covered the major risks facing MROs. [This presentation was published prior to the acquisition of TeamSAI]

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